Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others.

In 2016 and in 2020, Trump said he would win his native state but went on to lose by more than 20 points. On Wednesday, he ...

The algorithmic firm, Wintermute will launch its first prediction market next week, betting initially on the outcome of the ...

The right-wing tech billionaire Peter Thiel said that the "Kamala bubble" might burst, or Trump voters might become ...

Cryptocurrency market maker Wintermute said it will create a new prediction market specifically targeting the US election.

Election wagers have long been banned in the United States. But for a brief period on Thursday, a regulated prediction market ...

Astrologers have long claimed to be able to chart the fate of politicians. One advised Ronald and Nancy Reagan ahead of meetings with world leaders. Now astrologers are captivating a new generation.

If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be ...

Dissanayake’s rise reflects widespread voter frustration with established politicians in the wake of Sri Lanka’s 2022 ...

Opinion Video features innovative video journalism commentary — argued essays, Op-Ed videos, documentaries, and fact-based explanation of current affairs. The videos are produced by both outside video ...

Having some idea of where mortgage rates are headed can help you plan a home purchase or refinance. Find out what we think ...