Presidential debates are one of those things. Last week's debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President ...

Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the ...

which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after ...

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the ...

Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan, September 2, 2024. (Photo by JEFF KOWALSKY ... five-point lead in a late August CNN/SSRS poll and her 11-point advantage in the July Bloomberg ...

On Wednesday, New Jersey residents will vote in the special election to fill a seat left open by the late Rep. Donald Payne Jr.

A compressed battleground map has given each campaign a defensive electoral college wall, and they overlap in the crucial state of Pennsylvania. The debate between Bob Ferguson and Dave Reichert ...

Former President Donald Trump's election odds are currently -110, giving him a 49.62% chance of winning the election in November. The latest 2024 presidential ... for a total of 538 electoral ...

The 2024 election comes two years after voters approved the revamp in 2022. In November, Portland voters will elect a new mayor using a common form of single-winner ranked-choice voting that has ...