The biggest story in finance is that longer-term bond yields are rising. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, at about 4.7%, is the highest since April, even though the Federal Reserve’s overnight rate is now a percentage point lower than it was then.

Bond traders who have been mired in a Treasury market slump are bracing for more of the same as Donald Trump’s inauguration approaches, with options indicating the potential for a spike in US 10-year yields to 5% — a level not seen since October 2023.