The US economy is poised to beat expectations in 2025
Goldman Sachs Research predicts US GDP will grow 2.5% on a full-year basis. That compares with 1.9% for the consensus forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
The Economic Outlook for 2023 to 2033 in 16 Charts
In 2023, economic activity is projected to stagnate, with rising unemployment and falling inflation. Interest rates are projected to remain high initially and then gradually decrease in the next few years as inflation continues to slow.
US Economic Forecast Q4 2024 | Deloitte Insights
2024年12月13日 · The Q4 2023 US Economic Forecast explores the state of the US economy, amid challenges like a runup in interest rates to fight inflation, federal budget policy volatility, and growing geopolitical tensions.
Economic Forecast for the US Economy - The Conference Board
2024年12月17日 · The economy should expand at an upwardly revised pace of 2.7% year-over-year in 2024 (from 2.6%) and 2.0% in 2025 (from 1.7%). US real GDP growth in 2026 should settle at its potential rate of 1.8%. Inflation is expected to stabilize at the Fed’s 2% target in Q4 2025, later than the original Q2 2025 estimate.
2024 Economic Outlook: Insights & Trends | J.P. Morgan
The larger-than-expected fiscal boost to the U.S. economy in 2023 could flip to a slight headwind in 2024. The fiscal deficit roughly doubled to $1.84 trillion—7.4% of GDP—in fiscal 2023 from $950 billion in 2022.
US economic outlook December 2024 - EY
2024年12月13日 · Outlook: The US economy remains on a solid growth trajectory supported by healthy employment and income growth, robust consumer spending and strong productivity momentum that is helping tame inflationary pressures. We expect these positive dynamics will carry into 2025, allowing the Fed to pursue gradual, but cautious, policy recalibration.
Economic Outlook U.S. Q4 2024: Growth And Rates Start Shifting …
2024年9月24日 · S&P Global Ratings expects the U.S. economy to expand 2.7% in 2024 and 1.8% in 2025 (on an annual average basis). The growth forecasts are 0.2 and 0.1 percentage point higher, respectively, compared with our June forecasts, partly reflecting the impulse from financial conditions that turned more positive and partly on stronger core goods ...
We expect GDP to grow 1.8% in 2024 on a Q4/Q4 basis (or 2.1% on a full-year basis), again easily beating low consensus expectations. We forecast just under 2% consumption growth, with real disposable income growth of nearly 3% partly offset by a 1pp rise in the saving rate.
We project the quarterly pace of economic growth to moderate in the near term, decelerating to about 1.5 percent annualized in 2024Q2. Growth accelerates thereafter, ramping back up above 2.0 percent by 2025Q2. The unemployment rate is projected to creep up through 2025Q2, reaching 4.0 percent.
An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034
2024年6月18日 · Economic growth is projected to slow from 3.1 percent in calendar year 2023 to 2.0 percent in 2024 amid higher unemployment and slightly lower inflation. CBO expects the Federal Reserve to respond by reducing interest rates, starting in early 2025.